BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Central Arkansas

Class: 1B Class Rank: 56 Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  125.02
Conference: United Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-8)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/28/2025 Away    L     115.55   6  61   1A  21 ( 8- 5) Missouri               -8.68 *  -18.82  -46.32                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W   * 120.85  41  17   1B 125 ( 3- 8) Arkansas-Pine Bluff    -3.38     14.12   27.38                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    L * * 106.01  10  56   1B   3 (12- 2) Tarleton St           -18.22    -28.82  -27.78                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L   * 112.12  16  45   1B  16 ( 7- 5) Sacramento St         -12.11    -19.12  -16.89                      
 5 09/27/2025 Away    L   * 128.37  32  35   1B  34 ( 8- 5) Lamar                   4.14    -23.48   -7.14                      
 6 10/04/2025 Home    W * * 125.68  23  17   1B  75 ( 2-10) Utah Tech               1.45     -4.73    4.55                      
 7 10/11/2025 Away    W * * 150.94  49  21   1B  65 ( 2-10) North Alabama          26.71      2.87    1.29                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    L * * 135.72  17  18   1B  28 ( 8- 3) West Georgia           11.49     -6.60  -12.49                      
 9 11/01/2025 Home    L * * 106.79  13  34   1B  38 ( 5- 7) Eastern Kentucky      -17.44      3.01   -3.56                      
10 11/08/2025 Away    L * * 138.76  38  41   1B  17 ( 7- 5) Austin Peay            14.53    -17.39  -17.53                      
11 11/15/2025 Away    L * * 132.82  21  28   1B  20 ( 7- 5) Southern Utah           8.59    -16.83  -15.59                      
12 11/22/2025 Home    L * * 117.14  28  49   1B  13 ( 9- 5) Abilene Christian      -7.09    -10.86  -13.91                      
      Averages             124.23  24.5 35.2

Best game:  150.94 = 28 point win over North Alabama
Worst game: 106.01 = 46 point loss to Tarleton St
Team stdev:  13.72